Current and Upcoming

SEAS Colloquium in Climate Science (SCiCS)

February 13, 2018
2:45 PM - 3:45 PM
Mudd Hall, 500 W. 120 St., New York, NY 10027 214
Title: Response of Tropical Cyclone Activity and Structure to Global Warming in a High-Resolution Global Nonhydrostatic Model, NICAM Masaki Satoh (Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, The University of Tokyo) Abstract: In this seminar, I will introduce highlighted results of tropical cyclones from multi-decadal simulations with the global nonhydrostatic model NICAM, Future changes in tropical cyclone (TC) activity and structure are investigated using the outputs of a 14-km mesh climate simulation. A set of 30-yr simulations was performed under present-day and warmer climate conditions using a nonhydrostatic icosahedral atmospheric model with explicitly calculated convection. The model projected that the global frequency of TCs is reduced by 22.7%, the ratio of intense TCs is increased by 6.6%, and the precipitation rate within 100 km of the TC center increased by 11.8% under warmer climate conditions. These tendencies are consistent with previous studies using a hydrostatic global model with cumulus parameterization.